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Good morning! Here is the latest in trending:
Side-stepping China: President Trump has signed an agreement on critical minerals with Australia, with analysts bullish on rare earth stocks that are rallying higher.
Direct bailout? Argentina has signed a $20B currency stabilization agreement with the U.S. Treasury. American banks are seeking collateral for a separate $20B debt facility, while beef might also be in the mix.
Unusual correlation: Here’s why stocks and gold are rallying together – like it’s 1999 and 1979 simultaneously – despite historically moving in opposite directions.
For approximately 15 hours on Monday, Amazon (AMZN) interrupted the internet for millions of consumers, showing just how dependent our modern world has become on providers of connectivity. Amazon Web Services, a cloud subsidiary that hosts much of the infrastructure online, faced a disruption stemming from a minor server update. The failure prevented apps from finding addresses for a core database on the East Coast called DynamoDB, but things cascaded quickly, bringing down many services across the globe.
The result: Outages were reported for popular apps like Snapchat (CHAT), Reddit (RDDT) and Zoom (ZM), as well as Uber (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT). Financial apps were also disrupted, ranging from brokerages such as Robinhood (HOOD) and Coinbase (COIN) to digital wallet Venmo (PYPL). Even conducting tasks like changing airline tickets or streaming was a challenge, given the breadth and reach of the interruptions.
Amazon’s (AMZN) stock didn’t suffer a similar fate to CrowdStrike (CRWD) after its global IT outage in July 2024, when the cybersecurity firm slumped as much as 20% following a faulty security update. In fact, Amazon’s stock was up during the session on Monday (and is rising again premarket) as traders shrugged off the developments. In contrast, CrowdStrike’s stock took several months to recover following its debacle, and there wasn’t an immediate antidote to restore investor confidence.
What to make of it: People might be getting more used to these types of disruptions in our highly connected world, especially if they don’t occur often and are resolved quickly. However, it also makes a big difference in the type of disruption. AWS is a powerhouse that has achieved “too big to fail” status and technical glitches happen from time to time in the world of cloud computing. For CrowdStrike, its failure was related to an update of its core product that is supposed to protect IT infrastructure —not result in a global “blue screen of death.” Safety was a paramount concern there, as well as lapses in the firm’s security protocol, which could have prompted companies to look elsewhere in the endpoint-protection market. (See comments here)
Here’s the latest Seeking Alpha analysis
The Fed Is Setting The Stage For A Major Market Reversal
Best International ETFs: Top 5 Countries To Outperform The U.S.
My Boldest Macro Call Is Unfolding Exactly As I Expected
Applied Digital: I See No Froth
Dutch Bros: Buy The Dip
What else is happening…
WSB survey results: Things don’t look good for plant-based sales.
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 earnings on deck: Here’s what to expect.
Takaichi trade: Stocks rally, yen weakens as Japan elects new PM.
iPhone 17 confidence? Apple’s (AAPL) valuation nears $4T.
Trump signals support for defense pact with Australia and UK.
Gas prices have finally fallen below $3 per gallon nationally.
Phillips 66, Kinder Morgan (KMI) pitch California-bound pipeline.
Credit roaches? Zions Bancorp (ZION) rallies after earnings.
EU makes decision to phase out Russian gas imports by 2028.
SA Asks: What’s the most attractive nuclear stock right now?
Today’s Markets
In Asia, Japan +0.3%. Hong Kong +0.7%. China +1.4%. India +0.1%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +0.3%. Frankfurt -0.1%.
Futures at 7:00, Dow flat. S&P flat. Nasdaq -0.1%. Crude +0.9% to $57.53. Gold -2% to $4,272.60. Bitcoin -2.1% to $108,377.
Ten-year Treasury Yield unchanged at 3.98%.
On The Calendar
Companies reporting today include GE Aerospace (GE) and Netflix (NFLX).
See the full earnings calendar on Seeking Alpha, as well as today’s economic calendar.
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