{"id":721,"date":"2023-10-13T17:21:38","date_gmt":"2023-10-13T17:21:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/connectwithfund.com\/economy\/10-30-year-yields-post-biggest-one-day-jumps-in-over-a-week-after-september-cpi-report\/"},"modified":"2023-10-13T17:21:38","modified_gmt":"2023-10-13T17:21:38","slug":"10-30-year-yields-post-biggest-one-day-jumps-in-over-a-week-after-september-cpi-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/connectwithfund.com\/?p=721","title":{"rendered":"10, 30-year yields post biggest one-day jumps in over a week after September CPI report"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"js-article__body\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-sbid=\"WP-MKTW-0002607026\" role=\"document\">\n<p>Treasury yields broadly jumped on Thursday after hotter-than-expected headline inflation from the September consumer-price index had traders boosting the chances of a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n<h2>What happened<\/h2>\n<ul class=\"articleList\">\n<li>\n      The yield on the 2-year Treasury<br \/>\n        BX:TMUBMUSD02Y<br \/>\n       rose 6.6 basis points to 5.069% from 5.003% on Wednesday, after touching an intraday high of 5.084%. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      The yield on the 10-year Treasury<br \/>\n        BX:TMUBMUSD10Y<br \/>\n       jumped 11.5 basis points to 4.71% after factoring in reopening levels. <\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      The yield on the 30-year Treasury<br \/>\n        BX:TMUBMUSD30Y<br \/>\n       soared 13.3 basis points to 4.870% from 4.737% late Wednesday.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n      Thursday\u2019s moves were the largest one-day gains for the 10- and 30-year rates since Oct. 3, based on 3 p.m. Eastern time figures from Dow Jones Market Data.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>What drove markets<\/h2>\n<p>In data released on Thursday, the U.S. consumer-price index for September produced hotter-than-expected headline inflation rates. Prices climbed 0.4% for last month and remained steady at 3.7% over the 12 months that ended in September \u2014 both of which exceeded economists\u2019 expectations. <\/p>\n<div class=\"paywall\">\n<p>Another U.S. economic report showed that weekly initial jobless benefit claims remained flat at 209,000, a sign that the job market is still strong. <\/p>\n<p>Resiliency in inflation and the U.S. economy may be playing a bigger role in the recent run-up of long-term Treasury yields than Fed officials think, judging by Thursday\u2019s reaction to September\u2019s CPI data, analysts said. That\u2019s giving way to a greater likelihood that policy makers may need to raise rates one more time.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Read: Stock-market moves show bond traders are still in charge as yields renew rise<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Fed-funds futures traders boosted the chances of a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December to 31.4%, up from 26.3% a day ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Such a move would lift the fed-funds rate target to between 5.5%-5.75%. Traders saw only an 11.8% chance of a quarter-point hike on Nov. 1.<\/p>\n<p>Treasury\u2019s auction of $20 billion of 30-year bonds came in weak, according to analysts, exacerbating the selloff in U.S. government debt.<\/p>\n<h2>What analysts are saying<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s very little in today\u2019s CPI report that suggests it\u2019s mission accomplished for the Fed getting the inflation genie back in the bottle,\u201d said Jason Pride, chief of investment strategy and research at Glenmede, which manages roughly $42 billion in assets. \u201cHeading into year-end, the Fed may still choose to raise rates once more, though it may be attentive to already tightening financial conditions due to the rise in long-term rates over the last few months. There are still several important economic indicators to be seen before the December FOMC, but another rate hike should remain on the table for now.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.marketwatch.com\/story\/ten-year-treasury-yields-hold-near-two-week-lows-ahead-of-cpi-inflation-report-f08671eb?mod=economy-politics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Treasury yields broadly jumped on Thursday after hotter-than-expected headline inflation from the September consumer-price index had traders boosting the chances of a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve. What happened The yield on the 2-year Treasury BX:TMUBMUSD02Y rose 6.6 basis points to 5.069% from 5.003% on Wednesday, after touching an intraday high of 5.084%. The yield on the 10-year Treasury BX:TMUBMUSD10Y jumped 11.5 basis points to 4.71% after factoring in reopening levels. The yield on the 30-year Treasury BX:TMUBMUSD30Y soared 13.3 basis points to 4.870% from 4.737% late Wednesday. Thursday\u2019s moves were the largest one-day gains for the 10-<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":322,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-721","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>10, 30-year yields post biggest one-day jumps in over a week after September CPI report | ConnectWithFund<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Treasury yields broadly jumped on Thursday after hotter-than-expected headline inflation from the September consumer-price index had traders boosting the\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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